The relationship between likelihood of winning the Cup and actually winning it becomes more clear when the same overall table is sorted to identify the teams with the highest likelihood of winning the Cup during each of the last nine seasons.

FORBES: MLS Knockout Round and MLS Cup Predictions

The table below presents the teams with the ten highest likelihoods of winning the MLS Cup in all nine prior seasons that used some variation of the current format (this is a sorted view of this complete table in my last post on this topic).

FORBES: MLS Knockout Round and MLS Cup Predictions