Yet, the long term trend might be for the U.S. and Europe to consume less.
Math scores on the NAEP long term trend were stagnant during the same period.
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Other than the fact that Brazilian incomes are rising, which is a long term trend, there are some short-term trends as well.
"All stock markets in all countries at all stages in history have always fallen back to, or below, their long term trend line, " he says.
One question would be: is this a long term trend?
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While in secular bull markets the very long-term trend is up, in secular bear markets the very long-term trend (17 years typically) is sideways to down.
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For a start this puts Apple back on its long term trend, so if you are technically minded it is hard not to see that as reasonable.
"In the short term there will be price volatility and political backlash, but the long term trend is fairly clear: undertaking reductions now is significantly cheaper than inaction, " says Karmali.
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Like Treasuries, the dollar should benefit from the same intermittent credit pressures related to ongoing deleveraging, but the long term trend remains lower for the tallest midget in the room.
The second interesting observation is that 7 out of 8 of the cyclical bull markets within the long term trend lasted for several years, and did not end until the market was back to its level achieved at the peak when the secular bear began.
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" The bottom line, they wrote, "is that Netflix has yet to break its near-term or long-term trend lines, " and "until it does we would not consider Netflix to be topping.
It should be noted that even if the December lows were broken, the long-term positive action of the on-balance volume (OBV) indicator would still keep my long-term trend analysis positive.
The long-term trend of the market is up, and as long as you hold true to your strategy and are appropriately diversified across and within asset classes, your portfolio will experience long-term growth.
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And what a boom it would be to get back to the long-term trend!
Since the mid-1970s the long-term trend in household saving has been downwards (see chart above).
But the long-term trend is clear: We will need more and more skilled people.
Of the main currencies, the yen looks by far the cheapest relative to its long-term trend.
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We believe the estimated deceleration in growth is more a seasonal factor than a long-term trend.
Its leaders chose to ignore the long-term trend away from traditional retail toward on-line shopping.
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But to grow, white supremacist groups have to buck a long-term trend toward inclusion, he said.
To return median single-family house prices to the long-term trend takes another 20% drop from here.
There is a long-term trend for more content and applications using resources in connected data centers.
It has the benefit of being logically consistent and I suspect it is an important long-term trend.
The government said the figures were provisional, so it could not say whether they showed a long-term trend.
This was one reason why the economy could grow faster than its long-term trend without igniting inflationary pressure.
Yet the most important reason for Autonomy's success is that it is riding a long-term trend in computing.
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