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Nomura forecasts the June IPCA-15 core inflation index to come in at 0.18% above last month, bringing inflation to 6.56% year-over-year.
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Another measure of core inflation that we monitor closely, based on the price index for personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy, shows a similar pattern.
NPR: Bernanke: U.S. Growth 'Moderate' as Inflation Rises
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Core inflation, as measured by the CPI (consumer price index, scheduled for release on Thursday), should remain in the 0% to 0.1% range in coming months, the analysts forecasted.
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Economists had been expecting the Producer Price Index to climb 0.7% and for core inflation to rise by 0.1%.
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Analysts surveyed by MarketWatch look for the overall and core consumer price index to show a 0.2% rise in inflation.
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The Fed closely watches a cumbersome-sounding index, the core personal consumption expenditure deflator, for signs of inflation, and in the last few months, that indicator has dropped within the range Bernanke has been looking for--after three years of coming in above his range.
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