Well, it can only be true if security selection and market timing detract from institutional returns or individual returns in the aggregate.

唯一的可能性就是证券选择,和市场时机选择,给机构和个人带来的是负的回报

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

I think market timing,as I've defined it, has to do with short-term deviations from your long-term policy targets.

正如我之前定义的,市场时机选择,是偏离长期策略目标的,短期操作

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

The Morningstar study is incredibly damning in terms of the market timing abilities of individual investors.

晨星公司这一研究结果,谴责了个体投资者的市场时机选择能力

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

The second, market timing, deals with short-term deviations from the long-term asset allocations that you establish.

第二,市场时机选择涉及,偏离长期资产配置的短期操作

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Those three tools are asset allocation, market timing, and security selection.

这些工具是,资产配置,市场时机选择和证券选择

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

With regard to market timing, you don't want to do it.

别太寄望于市场时机选择

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Absolutely the same thing is true on the market timing front.

市场时机选择同理

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

We'll look at things--sectors say they're cheap or expensive and exploit the opportunity; but at least in terms of how I define market timing, it wouldn't be included in that definition.

关注研究资产和行业的细节,看它们是便宜了还是贵了,来发掘投资的机会,但至少在我所定义的市场时机选择方面,并不包括这些

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Let's move to the second point: market timing.

接下来我们讲第二点,市场时机选择

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

That's a brilliant market timing device that-- I think enlightened people thought that those prices were getting high-- and also made some play on credit spreads and now on real estate, he said.

这个决策的市场时机非常正确,有见识的人都觉得,那时网络股的价格太高了,他们也参与了信用利差交易,现在又转向了房地产

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

The take-away is to avoid market timing.

股灾的教训是别指望靠市场时机选择赚钱

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Because we hold relatively stable, relatively well-diversified portfolios, security selection turns out not to be an important determinant of returns for most investors and market timing turns out not to be an important determinant of returns.

因为持有相对稳定,和相对分散的投资组合,证券选择不再是,决定投资者回报率的重要因素,而市场时机选择,也不会成为决定回报率的重要因素

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

So, it's not surprising that asset allocation explains more than 100% of returns and that, for the community as a whole, market timing and security selection are costly and lower the community's aggregate investment returns.

因此资产配置能解释100%以上的回报,也不足为奇了,对投资者整体来说,市场时机选择,和证券选择是有代价的,降低了总的投资回报

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Now, that's not a huge number but, obviously, when you're hoping to beat the market by a point or two losing by 0.3% per year because of your market timing inability is a bad thing.

看起来这不是个巨大的数字,明显地,当你希望获得,高于市场水平一到两个百分点的回报率,却由于抓不住市场时机而每年亏个0.3%,就很糟糕了

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Isn't that market timing?

这难道不是个市场时机选择的例子吗

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

If I came to the office next week and decided domestic stocks were too high -I want to move that target down to 8% -in the way that I've described market timing, that would be a market timing move and we're very careful not to do that.

如果下周我上班时,认为国内股票价格偏高,我会把权重调低到8%,用我描述过的方式,这就是个市场时机选择的操作,我们一般很谨慎,并不会轻易那么做

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选