The modest town of 1 million people is the capital of the prefecture of Miyagi, where unemployment, at 6.4% in 2009, was well above the national rate of 5.1%.
它的中等规模的宫城县人口1百万,2009年的失业率是6.4%,远远高于全国的平均数字5.1%。
Registered unemployment rate in the town is increasing year by year, exceeding 4%, the natural unemployment rate, suggesting a serious situation.
城镇登记失业率逐年增加,超过了4%的自然失业率,就业形势比较严峻。
It will be used to forecast the short-term rate of town unemployment in 2003. Then the article makes the long-term forecast on the new agriculture labor force and the third industry index by ARIMA.
然后又使用ARIMA模型对新增农业劳动力指数、第三产业指数进行长期预测,并根据二者的长期预测值,运用多元线性回归分析对城镇实际失业率进行长期预测。
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