In the twelve months before OECD leading indicators peak, markets on average return 24%, UBS found.
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In the history of large successful enterprises in industries that grow and then peak, very few leading companies remain dynamic and innovative.
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We covered our Treasury shorts as yields spiked in late March and became buyers shortly thereafter as our conviction increased that both leading indicators and CPI are set to peak in the immediate term, potentially cutting short the tactical back-up in yields we envisioned.
The number of new home loans has fallen 26 percent since its recent peak in June 2009, a leading indicator for housing.
In the year leading up to the March 2000 Nasdaq market peak Cisco gained 192% and was briefly the most valuable company in the world.
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Cloud Peak Energy ( CLD) is a leading domestic coal producer.
Leading the multi-year bear market was a peak in the home builders in July 2005, which was followed by a peak in community banks at the end of 2006, and then the regional banks in February 2007.
European shares, too, have stumbled: the Eurotop 300, an index of the shares of leading companies, is 5.5% off its peak.
In the couple of years leading up to the market's late-2007 peak, hedge funds and other exotic vehicles were all the rage.
According to Nakia Jean Lozoya, a marketing assistant at Tustin-based Peak Power Solutions, middle-class homeowners are leading the charge towards 100 percent renewable energy in Orange County.
Satellites ordered in the heady mid-1990s reached orbit on the eve of the Asian crisis, leading to a glut in capacity that is now at its peak.
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Leading Total executives have told Forbes recently that they believe global oil supplies will peak out at 95 million bpd sometime in the next 10 years.
Yield-curve critics say there are better leading indicators for a recession, such as housing permits (which tend to peak 17 months before the recession starts) and consumer confidence (which dips 3 to 9 months ahead of a downturn).
Probably 20-30% less than its peak, though only 15-20% less than the 5-year average leading into 2008.
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